Page Not Found

The requested page you are looking for has either moved or is no longer available.

We've directed you back to our homepage so you can continue to browse the site.

Research Affiliates
Narrative Economics — Part 1

Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller, interviewed by Rob Arnott, expounds on the importance of narratives in driving economic events.

The Inverted Yield Curve and Stock Returns

Cam Harvey explains the link between the yield curve inversion and future stock returns as well as why value offers investors a potential hedge against downside risk after a yield curve inversion. 

RA Conversations - Kelly Shue
The Unintended Consequences of Thinking in Dollars

Kelly Shue’s research challenges the conventional wisdom that size is the fundamental determinant of volatility and offers investors a window on an under-appreciated driver of asset price movements. 

The Inverted Yield Curve

Cam Harvey speaks to the currently inverted yield curve as an indicator of a slowing economy, further expounding on his Conversations of January 2019.

The History of the Cross-Section of Stock Returns

Juhani Linnainmaa cautions investors to be wary of alpha decay in newly discovered factors. Using fresh, pre-discovery data, his out-of-sample analysis shows about half of the many factors tested were not robust.

Surprise! High Employee Satisfaction = More Positive Earnings Surprises

ESG and SRI strategies filter companies on metrics that often measure intangibles. Alex Edmans finds that employee satisfaction does correlate with corporate outcomes, but the market is not yet adequately valuing this intangible.

Beyond Willpower: Strategies For Reducing Failures of Self-Control

David Laibson discusses his findings on what types of strategies work best to encourage investors to exert self-control, whether it may be saving more for retirement or resisting the impulse to sell into a falling market.

The Flattening Yield Curve

Cam Harvey looks at the yield curve today through the lens of his 1986 pioneering work on yield-curve inversions and their foreshadowing of economic downturns.